Mortgage rates are closer to 8% today than 7% — a surprising development for housing professionals considering the optimism for sub-6% rates held by many at the start of 2026. And the dark clouds forming over the market may result in additional negative consequences beyond fewer home sales and closed loans.
HousingWire‘s Mortgage Rates Center showed that 30-year conforming loan rates averaged 7.63% on Tuesday, up 31 basis points in the past two weeks. Rates for 30-year loans through the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) averaged 7.59% — a startling two-week jump of 59 bps — while rates for 30-year jumbo loans rose 45 bps to average 7.85%.
“Mortgage rates increased for the sixth straight week, reaching a nearly three-year high. Affordability and borrower demand have weakened in recent weeks as the higher-rate environment continues to put pressure on both prospective homebuyers and homeowners looking to refinance,” Bob Broeksmit, president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), said in a statement last week.
While rising rates have been a hindrance to prospective homebuyers for a while, industry experts indicate that the sharp increase in the past few weeks has also taken a financial toll on lenders — many of which are cutting origination forecasts or considering layoffs.
“Bond yields are at the highest level they’ve been in a couple of decades. Mortgage rates are at the highest level they’ve been in several years,” said Melissa Cohn, regional vice president at William Raveis Mortgage. “Banks seem to be panicking about the direction of mortgage rates and prophylactically raising rates, even if they don’t have to, just to get out of the fray. We’re going back to a period like in 2022, when rates went up precipitously, and we saw some lenders going out of the market.”
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